THERMIC REGIME AND AIR TEMPERATURE TRENDS IN ŠUMADIJA REGION (SERBIA)

Authors

  • Ana Milanović Pešić Geographical Institute “Jovan Cvijić” SASA, Belgrade
  • Boško Milovanović Geographical Institute “Jovan Cvijić” SASA, Belgrade

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601019M

Keywords:

air temperatures, Mann-Kendall test, Sens slope estimation, Šumadija region, Serbia

Abstract

Subject of this paper is analysis of mean, absolute maximum and absolute minimum air temperatures (on a monthly and annual scale) in order to represent certain climatic characteristics of Šumadija region (Serbia). Data from 10 meteorological stations located in this region were used in the analysis for the period 1961–2010. Based on available data it is concluded that similar climate conditions are met in the whole region and the spatial variations of air temperatures are relatively small. Mean annual air temperatures varied from 11–11.6°С in most of meteorological stations. The only exception is Belgrade where slightly higher mean annual air temperature of 12.3°С was calculated, which along with micro-location influence of this station indicates the presence of urban heat island effect. In order to determine potential air temperature changes in Šumadija region, the trends of the climatic element are examined using Mann-Kendall test and Sens slope estimation. Calculated trends of mean annual air temperatures indicate increase in almost all stations and they are statistically significant on the confidence levels from 95 to 99.9%. Contrary to the trends of mean annual air temperatures, absolute maximum air temperature trends have statistically significant increase only in six stations (at four stations confidence level is 99%, and 95% at one station and 90% at another one). Other four stations do not have statistically significant trends of absolute maximum air temperatures. Absolute minimum air temperatures do not have statistically significant trends.

Article metrics

References

Anđelković, G. (2003). Osnovne karakteristike beogradskog ostrva toplote. Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 83(1), 15–30.

Anđelković, G. (2009). Ekstremne klimatske pojave u Srbiji. (Neobjavljena doktorska disertacija).

Geografski fakultet Univerziteta u Beogradu, Beograd.

Ducić, V. & Radovanović, М. (2005). Klima Srbije. Beograd: Zavod za udžbenike i nastavna sredstva.

Kovačević-Majkić, J. & Urošev, M. (2014). Trends оf мean аnnual аnd seasonal discharges of rivers in Serbia. Journal of the Geographical institute ”Jovan Cvijić “ SASA, 64 (2), 143-160.

Milanović Pešić, A. (2015). Geografski aspekti prirodnih nepogoda u Šumadiji (Neobjavljena doktorska disertacija). Geografski fakultet Univerziteta u Beogradu, Beograd.

Milovanović, B. (2005). Statistical procedures application and results of research of precipitation on Mountain Stara Planina. Journal of the Geographical institute “Jovan Cvijić” SASA, 54(1), 33–44.

Milovanović, B. (2015). Air temperature changes in Serbia and the Belgrade heat island. Journal of the Geographical institute “Jovan Cvijić” SASA, 65(1), 33–42.

Radinović, Đ. (1981). Vreme i klima Jugoslavije. Beograd: Građevinska knjiga.

Rakićević, T. (1960). Klima Beograda. Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta, 7, 126–150.

Rakićević, T. (1980). Klimatsko rejoniranje SR Srbije. Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta, 27, 29–41.

Salmi T, Määttä A, Anttila P, Airola T & Amnell T. (2002). Detecting trends of annual values of atmospheric pollutants by the Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimates-the excel template application makesense. Finish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland. Retrieved from http://www.fmi.fi/organisation/kontakt_11.html.

Unkašević, M. (1994). Klima Beograda. Beograd: Naučna knjiga.

Šegota, Т. (1976). Klimatologija za geografe. Zagreb: Školska knjiga

Downloads

Published

2016-04-30

How to Cite

Milanović Pešić, A., & Milovanović, B. (2016). THERMIC REGIME AND AIR TEMPERATURE TRENDS IN ŠUMADIJA REGION (SERBIA). Journal of the Geographical Institute “Jovan Cvijić” SASA, 66(1), 19–34. https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601019M

Most read articles by the same author(s)